TREB Releases November Market Figures as Reported by GTA REALTORS

  12/4/2019 |   SHARE
Posted in GTA Real Estate by Paul Solomons | Back to Main Blog Page

TREB Market Watch Residential

Toronto Real Estate Board President Michael Collins announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 7,090 sales through TREB’s MLS® System in November 2019 – a 14.2 per cent increase compared to November 2018. On a GTA-wide basis, sales were up year-over-year for all major market segments. Annual sales growth in ground-oriented home types, including detached houses, led the way.

New listings entered into TREB’s MLS® System in November and the active listings count at the end of the month went in the opposite direction compared to last year, with new listings down 17.9 per cent year-over-year and active listings down 27.2 per cent.

“An increasing number of home buyers impacted by demand-side policies over the past three years, including the 2017 Ontario Fair Housing Plan and the OSFI mortgage stress test, have moved back into the market for ownership housing. Based on affordability and stricter mortgage qualification standards, many buyers may have likely adjusted their preferences, changing the type and/or location of home they ultimately chose to purchase,” said Mr. Collins.

“The Greater Toronto Area needs flexible housing market policies that will help sustain balanced market conditions over the long term.  All levels of government in Canada plus reputable international bodies have acknowledged that we have a housing supply problem. In 2020, policy makers need to translate their acknowledgment of supply issues into concrete solutions to bring a greater array of ownership and rental housing online. As always, TREB will be there to help policy makers in this regard,” said TREB CEO, John DiMichele.

As market conditions continued to tighten in November 2019, with increased sales up against an increasingly constrained supply of listings, the annual rate of price growth continued to accelerate. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark increased by 6.8 per cent year-over-year. The average selling price increased by 7.1 per cent year-over-year to $843,637. Both the MLS® HPI and the average selling price for the TREB market area as a whole experienced the strongest annual rates of price growth for the year in November.

“Strong population growth in the GTA coupled with declining negotiated mortgage rates resulted in sales accounting for a greater share of listings in November and throughout the second half of 2019.  Increased competition between buyers has resulted in an acceleration in price growth. Expect the rate of price growth to increase further if we see no relief on the listings supply front,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Chief Market Analyst.

 

Summary of TREB MLS®  Sales and Average Price November 1 - 30, 2019
  2019 2018
  Sales Average Price New Listings Sales Average Price New Listings
City of Toronto ("416") 2,718 910,419 3,308 2,548 840,391 3,896
Rest of GTA ("905") 4,372 802,120 5,342 3,658 750,403 6,642
GTA 7,090 843,637 8,650 6,206 787,349 10,538

 

TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price  By Home Type November 1 - 30, 2019
  Sales Average Price
  416 905 Total 416 905 Total
             
Detached 788 2,475 3,263 1,360,246 943,494 1,044,138
Yr./Yr. % Change 12.7% 27.8% 23.8% 4.9% 4.3% 3.5%
Semi-Detached 247 422 669 1,067,027 703,272 837,573
Yr./Yr. % Change 19.3% 3.4% 8.8% 0.3% 7.3% 5.7%
Townhouse 294 879 1,173 763,298 634,450 666,744
Yr./Yr. % Change 11.8% 21.9% 19.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.0%
Condo Apartment 1,368 534 1,902 659,855 509,559 617,658
Yr./Yr. % Change 0.4% 2.5% 1.0% 10.9% 12.2% 11.1%

 

November 2019 Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change in the MLS® HPI
  Composite (All 
Types)
Single-Family 
Detached
Single-Family 
Attached
Townhouse Apartment
TREB Total 6.83% 5.11% 5.95% 7.49% 9.49%
Halton Region 9.77% 10.14% 9.06% 13.04% 2.92%
Peel Region 8.26% 5.82% 6.93% 8.49% 16.14%
City of Toronto 6.99% 3.75% 5.18% 3.29% 9.49%
York Region 2.44% 1.81% 2.79% 4.17% 5.73%
Durham Region 4.87% 4.30% 5.63% 5.83% 6.87%
Orangeville 5.57% 5.49% 6.35% - -
South Simcoe 
County1
4.15% 2.23% -1.00% - -
         
1South Simcoe includes Adjala-Tosorontio, Bradford West Gwillimbury, Essa, Innisfil and New Tecumseth  

 

Annual Summary of TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price Year-to-Date
  2019 2018
  Sales Average Price New Listings Sales Average Price New Listings
City of Toronto ("416") 30,559 883,443 51,360 28,585 840,275 50,396
Rest of GTA ("905") 52,904 780,807 97,848 45,684 758,241 101,798
GTA 83,463 818,386 149,208 74,269 789,815 152,194

 

Annual TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price  By Home Type Year-to-Date 2019
  Sales Average Price
  416 905 Total 416 905 Total
             
Detached 8,868 29,492 38,360 1,316,510 924,294 1,014,966
Yr./Yr. % Change 15.2% 19.6% 18.5% -0.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Semi-Detached 2,806 5,104 7,910 1,046,480 687,482 814,833
Yr./Yr. % Change 11.7% 13.3% 12.7% 4.2% 4.4% 4.2%
Townhouse 3,207 10,712 13,919 771,775 625,629 659,302
Yr./Yr. % Change 16.7% 14.8% 15.3% 3.7% 2.9% 3.2%
Condo Apartment 15,472 6,785 22,257 632,650 481,441 586,554
Yr./Yr. % Change 0.2% 9.2% 2.8% 6.6% 6.9% 6.2%

 

Jan.-Nov. 2019 TREB MLS® System Condominium Apartment Rental Market Summary*
         
Apartment Type Month/Year Rentals Average Rent  
One-Bedroom Jan.-Oct. 2019 18,798 $2,210  
Jan.-Oct. 2018 16,510 $2,092  
Yr./Yr. % Chg. 13.9% 5.6%  
         
Two-Bedroom Jan.-Oct. 2019 11,107 $2,885  
Jan.-Oct. 2018 10,027 $2,760  
Yr./Yr. % Chg. 10.8% 4.5%  

Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
*Note: A broader breakout of condominium apartment and condominium townhouse rental statistics by bedroom type and TREB areas and municipalities will continue to be provided in TREB's quarterly Rental Market Report.

Seasonally Adjusted TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price1
  Sales Month-over-Month 
% Chg.
Average Price Month-over-Month 
% Chg.
November '18 6,698 -1.4% $800,590 -0.8%
December '18 6,751 0.8% $793,999 -0.8%
January '19 6,815 0.9% $779,242 -1.9%
February '19 6,201 -9.0% $764,121 -1.9%
March '19 6,347 2.4% $761,226 -0.4%
April '19 7,046 11.0% $773,815 1.7%
May '19 7,389 4.9% $796,066 2.9%
June '19 7,477 1.2% $812,642 2.1%
July '19 7,839 4.8% $825,397 1.6%
August '19 7,933 1.2% $827,681 0.3%
September '19 7,871 -0.8% $837,095 1.1%
October '19 7,660 -2.7% $838,407 0.2%
November '19 7,780 1.6% $843,221 0.6%
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board; CREA Seasonal Adjustment

Preliminary seasonal adjustment undertaken by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).  Removing normal seasonal variations allows for more meaningful analysis of monthly changes and underlying trends.



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